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2024-12-13 12:34:07

Yesterday, after the market opened higher and closed lower, the next big probability was the shock consolidation rhythm of Xiaoyin Xiaoyang. Today, the Shanghai Composite Index opened lower and oscillated higher, with an amplitude of 21 points throughout the day, which was basically in line with the forecast. Just to remind you, today's rebound has shrunk, and it is mainly the theme and low-priced stocks that lead the recovery. Be careful of the main plot to lure more people. It is estimated that the curse will be staged again tomorrow!It is estimated that the support for the next 5 days is easy to fall. Today's support significance has been reflected, but even if the index is sideways at a high level, the 5-day line will passively fall, so the reference significance is not great. The next support level to pay attention to is the short-term trend line, and the other is the triangular upper rail line support. When you step back here, basically this wave of strong dishwashing should be over.Secondly, the low-priced stocks shrink at a new high, which hides hidden dangers, and the double main line has a high probability of differentiation. Recently, the official media issued a series of articles to remind people of the risk of speculating junk stocks. As a result, the index of low-priced stocks has shrunk to a new high in the past two years. It can only be said that the hot money is too cattle. However, as the year is approaching, this wave of low-priced stock indexes has doubled, and the risks are all rising. The risk of junk stocks is even greater. Pay attention to safety!


In terms of the performance of individual stocks and sectors, today's shrinkage repair is a bit unhealthy. Although the two main lines of consumption and robots are still leading the gains, both small tickets and low-priced stocks are leading the gains. On the contrary, the trend leaders are a little stuck, and the high-level differences are still quite big. Judging from the weak performance of shrinkage today, it is difficult to continue to rise tomorrow, so beware of the trend of high and low.First of all, under the contraction, large funds remained inactive, and the net outflow of domestic institutions was 28.2 billion. Today, not only is the market shrinking, but mainstream broad-based ETFs are also shrinking and repairing. In particular, even if the CSI 1000ETF was released in late trading, the volume of the whole day can be halved compared with the previous trading day. Yesterday's heavy shipment was falsified today, so today's lure depends on tomorrow's test.In terms of funds, the net outflow of domestic institutions is 28.2 billion, and the blue-chip white horse is not moving. It is estimated that foreign capital should also be the main outflow, and mysterious funds have basically rested. It can be stabilized here, but there is no basis for active attack. Therefore, today's shrinking is weak, or we should be careful of the main plot to lure more people. It is the best choice not to blindly chase after the rise here.


In terms of the performance of individual stocks and sectors, today's shrinkage repair is a bit unhealthy. Although the two main lines of consumption and robots are still leading the gains, both small tickets and low-priced stocks are leading the gains. On the contrary, the trend leaders are a little stuck, and the high-level differences are still quite big. Judging from the weak performance of shrinkage today, it is difficult to continue to rise tomorrow, so beware of the trend of high and low.Finally, the small high point is established, and the short-term needs consolidation and repair. It was suggested yesterday that there will be a short-term small high point here, but the back is mainly the consolidation and repair of Xiaoyin Xiaoyang. Pay attention to two pressure levels, one is 3457 points, which is 1/2 of the false yinxian line on Tuesday; Second, the closing price cannot stand at 3489.78 points, which will form a daily structure.

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